in this paper, we propose a new residual analysis method using fourier series transform into fuzzy time series model for improving the forecasting performance. this hybrid model takes advantage of the high predictable power of fuzzy time series model and fourier series transform to fit the estimated residuals into frequency spectra, select the low-frequency terms, filter out high-frequency term...

since the pioneering work of zadeh, fuzzy set theory has been applied to amyriad of areas. song and chissom introduced the concept of fuzzy time series andapplied some methods to the enrolments of the university of alabama. thereafter weapply fuzzy techniques for system identification and apply statistical techniques tomodelling system. an automatic methodology framework that combines fuzzytech...

fuzzy time series have been developed during the last decade to improve the forecast accuracy. many algorithms have been applied in this approach of forecasting such as high order time invariant fuzzy time series. in this paper, we present a hybrid algorithm to deal with the forecasting problem based on time variant fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization algorithm, as a highly effici...

In recent years, many studies have been done on forecasting fuzzy time series. First-order fuzzy time series forecasting methods with first-order lagged variables and high-order fuzzy time series forecasting methods with consecutive lagged variables constitute the considerable part of these studies. However, these methods are not effective in forecasting fuzzy time series which contain seasonal...

the late detection of the kick (the entrance of underground fluids into oil wells) leads to oil wellblowouts. it causes human life loss and imposes a great deal of expenses on the petroleum industry.this paper presents the application of adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system designed for an earlierkick detection using measurable drilling parameters. in order to generate the initial fuzzy infere...

  Fuzzy time series have been developed during the last decade to improve the forecast accuracy. Many algorithms have been applied in this approach of forecasting such as high order time invariant fuzzy time series. In this paper, we present a hybrid algorithm to deal with the forecasting problem based on time variant fuzzy time series and particle swarm optimization algorithm, as a highly effi...

this paper presents a fuzzy approach to the prediction of highly nonlinear timeseries.the optimized mamdani-type fuzzy system denoted sqp-flc is applied forthe input-output modeling of measured data. in order to tune fuzzy membershipfunctions, a sequential quadratic programming (sqp) method is employed. theproposed method is evaluated and validated on a highly complex time series, dailygold pri...